FC Tulsa host Lexington in the USL Championship on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at ONEOK Field. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Lexington sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat El Paso Locomotive 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lexington's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lexington arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for FC Tulsa and 1.4 for Lexington. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 35%, draw 23%, Lexington 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–1 Lexington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Lexington42%fair 2.36 · @2.45
2.68Expected goals
1.26FC Tulsa xG
1.42Lexington xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.3 – 1.4 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✗
42%
2.36
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
FC Tulsa – last 6
WLLWLL
19 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs Colorado Springs
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Monterey Bay
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Charleston Battery
1–5
L
7 Jun
vs San Antonio
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
WLLWDW
23 Jul
vs Oakland Roots
2–0
W
16 Jul
vs New Mexico United
1–4
L
12 Jul
@ Louisville City
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–1
W
21 Jun
vs Indy Eleven
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs San Antonio
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Lexington.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Lexington?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lexington 42%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Lexington?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Lexington?
FC Tulsa vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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