Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to Riccardo Silva Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 26 July (00:00 WAT) to face Miami FC. Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Miami FC's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Colorado Springs 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Loudoun United 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Miami FC 1–4 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Miami FC and 1.9 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miami FC 15%, draw 21%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Miami FC 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miami FC15%fair 6.55 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.75
Tampa Bay Rowdies64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
2.66Expected goals
0.78Miami FC xG
1.88Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Miami FC 0.8 – 1.9 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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