Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Detroit City host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Keyworth Stadium. Detroit City are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Detroit City's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Indy Eleven 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat San Antonio 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Detroit City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Detroit City and 0.8 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Detroit City 66%, draw 23%, Las Vegas Lights 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Detroit City 2–0 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Detroit City66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
Las Vegas Lights10%fair 9.72 · @5.25
2.87Expected goals
2.10Detroit City xG
0.76Las Vegas Lights xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Detroit City 2.1 – 0.8 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Detroit City to win✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Detroit City or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Detroit City ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Detroit City – last 6
WWWDWD
19 Jul
vs Indy Eleven
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Fort Wayne
2–1
W
3 Jul
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
20 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
6–2
W
11 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WWLLWL
19 Jul
@ San Antonio
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Las Vegas Lights 10%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 2–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio1
FC Tulsa0
Lexington0
Colorado Springs2
El Paso Locomotive2
Monterey Bay1
Orange County SC2