Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.93
El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX preview and prediction
The match
Sporting JAX travel to Southwest University Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 26 July (02:00 WAT) to face El Paso Locomotive. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sporting JAX sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sporting JAX's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Brooklyn 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.9 for Sporting JAX. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was El Paso Locomotive to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Sporting JAX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @4.40
Sporting JAX9%fair 10.79 · @5.60
3.45Expected goals
2.52El Paso Locomotive xG
0.93Sporting JAX xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.5 – 0.9 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Half-time result
El Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.93
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
LLWLDD
19 Jul
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs New Mexico United
0–2
L
5 Jul
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Monterey Bay
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Detroit City
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
DWLDLL
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
16 Jul
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Austin
0–4
L
4 Jul
@ Loudoun United
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
14 Jun
vs Detroit City
2–6
L
1.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is El Paso Locomotive to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting JAX 9%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.