Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Paulo to win ✓40% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.39
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Sao Paulo take on RB Bragantino on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at MorumBIS. Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points from 34 games (in the top half), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sao Paulo's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Chapecoense-sc 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
RB Bragantino's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Gremio 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Sao Paulo and 1.1 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Paulo 40%, draw 24%, RB Bragantino 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 3.15 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sao Paulo 1–1 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Paulo40%fair 2.49 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
RB Bragantino36%fair 2.80 · @3.15
2.37Expected goals
1.23Sao Paulo xG
1.14RB Bragantino xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.2 – 1.1 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RB Bragantino 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at MorumBIS.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
