The Serie A sees Mirassol take on Palmeiras on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mirassol's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Santos 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Palmeiras's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Santos 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Mirassol and 1.5 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol28%fair 3.62 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Palmeiras50%fair 1.98 · @2.02
2.60Expected goals
1.05Mirassol xG
1.55Palmeiras xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.1 – 1.5 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✗
50%
1.98
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Mirassol – last 6
DDLDLL
23 Aug
@ Santos
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Flamengo
1–5
L
13 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Cruzeiro
1–3
L
5 Aug
@ Gremio
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palmeiras – last 6
WWWLDD
27 Aug
vs Santos
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
12 Aug
vs Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Internacional
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Palmeiras.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 50%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Mirassol vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
