Serie A · Brazil · Estádio do MaracanãFlamengo vs Botafogo prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.8 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Flamengo are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 10% for Botafogo.
Flamengo have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Botafogo have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Flamengo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Flamengo, 0.8 for Botafogo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Flamengo have won 2, Botafogo have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Flamengo to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Flamengo or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Flamengo ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✓ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.27 | – |
Form
Flamengo – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Cruzeiro | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Mirassol | 5–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | @ Cruzeiro | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Vitoria | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jul | @ Internacional | 1–1 | D |
Botafogo – last 6
| 25 Aug | vs Atletico Paranaense | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Cienciano | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Vitoria | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Cienciano | 1–6 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Cruzeiro | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 2026 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0–3 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 1–2 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo 10%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Botafogo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Flamengo vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.