Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.65
Santos vs Mirassol preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Santos take on Mirassol on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Santos are 9th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santos's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Macara 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirassol's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Santos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Mirassol 2–2 Santos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Santos and 1.0 for Mirassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 58%, draw 20%, Mirassol 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santos to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santos 1–0 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.30
Mirassol22%fair 4.57 · @3.90
2.89Expected goals
1.86Santos xG
1.03Mirassol xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Santos 1.9 – 1.0 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Santos to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Santos vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Santos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mirassol 22%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Mirassol?
Santos vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
