The Serie A sees Cruzeiro take on Flamengo on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Flamengo sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Flamengo 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Cruzeiro 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Flamengo 2–1 Cruzeiro. Across their last 3 meetings Cruzeiro have won 0, Flamengo 2, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Cruzeiro and 1.5 for Flamengo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Flamengo45%fair 2.21 · @2.28
2.69Expected goals
1.21Cruzeiro xG
1.48Flamengo xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.2 – 1.5 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flamengo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
