Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras host Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Nubank Parque. Palmeiras are 2nd with 73 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Vasco DA Gama sit 13th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Cerro Porteno 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Olimpia 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Palmeiras and 0.7 for Vasco DA Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palmeiras 65%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 11%.
Safer route: Palmeiras or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palmeiras to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras65%fair 1.53 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
Vasco DA Gama11%fair 8.89 · @5.00
2.58Expected goals
1.90Palmeiras xG
0.68Vasco DA Gama xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.9 – 0.7 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 11%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
