Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo preview and prediction
The match
Sao Paulo travel to Arena Condá in the Serie A on Sunday 23 August (22:30 WAT) to face Chapecoense-sc. Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 21 points from 33 games (in the bottom three), while Sao Paulo sit 10th on 44 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Bahia 3–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sao Paulo's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Bolívar 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sao Paulo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Sao Paulo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.6 for Sao Paulo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chapecoense-sc 28%, draw 22%, Sao Paulo 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Sao Paulo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chapecoense-sc28%fair 3.51 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Sao Paulo50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
2.77Expected goals
1.15Chapecoense-sc xG
1.62Sao Paulo xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.2 – 1.6 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sao Paulo 50%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
