Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Bragantino to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.08
RB Bragantino vs Gremio preview and prediction
The match
Gremio travel to Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques in the Serie A on Sunday 23 August (20:00 WAT) to face RB Bragantino. RB Bragantino are 8th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Gremio sit 18th on 37 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
RB Bragantino's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Atletico-MG 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gremio's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for RB Bragantino and 0.6 for Gremio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was RB Bragantino or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Bragantino65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Gremio13%fair 7.41 · @4.40
2.36Expected goals
1.74RB Bragantino xG
0.62Gremio xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.7 – 0.6 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Our pick is RB Bragantino or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gremio 13%.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
RB Bragantino vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
