Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Major Antônio Couto PereiraCoritiba vs Corinthians prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.0 – 1.3 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Corinthians shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 30% for Coritiba.
Coritiba have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Corinthians have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Corinthians come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Coritiba, 1.3 for Corinthians). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Coritiba have won 1, Corinthians have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Corinthians to win at 2.40 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Corinthians to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.43 | – |
Form
Coritiba – last 6
| 16 Aug | @ Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Cruzeiro | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ RB Bragantino | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jul | vs Palmeiras | 1–3 | L |
| 30 May | @ Flamengo | 0–3 | L |
Corinthians – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs Rosario Central | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Rosario Central | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ RB Bragantino | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Internacional | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Internacional | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Mar 2026 | Corinthians v Coritiba | 0–2 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Coritiba vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians 46%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Coritiba vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.