Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Vitoria vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo travel to Estádio Manoel Barradas in the Serie A on Sunday 16 August (22:30 WAT) to face Vitoria. Vitoria are 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Botafogo sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Botafogo's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Cienciano 1–6 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Botafogo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Botafogo 0–0 Vitoria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Vitoria and 1.4 for Botafogo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitoria 37%, draw 24%, Botafogo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Botafogo to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria37%fair 2.70 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Botafogo39%fair 2.57 · @3.10
2.74Expected goals
1.35Vitoria xG
1.39Botafogo xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.4 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vitoria vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Vitoria vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
