Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win66% · @1.36
Double chanceFlamengo or draw88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.81
Flamengo vs Santos preview and prediction
The match
Santos travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the Serie A on Sunday 5 April (21:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Santos sit 9th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 0–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santos's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Remo 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Santos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flamengo 66%, draw 22%, Santos 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Santos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.65
Santos12%fair 8.11 · @8.30
2.75Expected goals
2.00Flamengo xG
0.75Santos xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.0 – 0.8 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win
66%
1.52
1.36
Double chance
Flamengo or draw
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.81
–
Form
Flamengo – last 6
LDWWWW
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
23 Mar
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs remo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Botafogo
3–0
W
12 Mar
vs Cruzeiro
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Madureira
8–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santos – last 6
WLDDWL
2 Apr
vs Remo
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Internacional
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
26 Feb
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Santos.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Flamengo vs Santos?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Santos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Santos?
Flamengo vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
