Corinthians vs Internacional prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 3.55 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✗40% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Corinthians vs Internacional preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Corinthians take on Internacional on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Neo Química Arena. Corinthians are 17th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Internacional sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Corinthians's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Fluminense 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Internacional's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Sao Paulo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Internacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Corinthians and 1.1 for Internacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Corinthians 40%, draw 24%, Internacional 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Internacional to win at 3.55 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Corinthians 1–1 Internacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corinthians40%fair 2.52 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Internacional36%fair 2.76 · @3.55
2.21Expected goals
1.14Corinthians xG
1.07Internacional xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.1 – 1.1 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✗
40%
2.52
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Corinthians – last 6
LDDDLL
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Santos
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Internacional – last 6
DWLLDW
1 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Internacional.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Internacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corinthians vs Internacional?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional 36%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Internacional?
Corinthians vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
