Fluminense travel to Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in the Serie A on Sunday 5 April (00:30 WAT) to face Coritiba. Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Fluminense sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Coritiba's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Vasco DA Gama 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fluminense's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Corinthians 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Coritiba and 1.3 for Fluminense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coritiba34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Fluminense43%fair 2.33 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.15Coritiba xG
1.35Fluminense xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.2 – 1.3 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✗
43%
2.33
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
Coritiba – last 4
DWWL
2 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Corinthians
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
WLWWLW
2 Apr
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Coritiba vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense 43%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Coritiba vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
