Double chanceSan Jose Earthquakes or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 8.00
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees San Jose Earthquakes take on Austin on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Austin sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Los Angeles FC 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Austin's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Louisville City 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for San Jose Earthquakes and 0.8 for Austin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 70%, draw 20%, Austin 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Austin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes70%fair 1.44 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.40
Austin11%fair 9.51 · @6.40
2.98Expected goals
2.21San Jose Earthquakes xG
0.76Austin xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 2.2 – 0.8 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
70%
1.44
1.46
Double chance
San Jose Earthquakes or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Half-time result
San Jose Earthquakes ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
8.00
–
Form
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
WWWWWL
20 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Sporting Kansas City
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs San Diego
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Austin – last 6
LDDLLD
15 Apr
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Real Salt Lake
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Austin 11%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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