New York Red Bulls vs DC United prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
New York Red Bulls or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: New York Red Bulls to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceNew York Red Bulls or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
New York Red Bulls vs DC United preview and prediction
The match
DC United travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April (00:30 WAT) to face New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while DC United sit 14th on 33 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
DC United's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Philadelphia Union 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New York Red Bulls arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for New York Red Bulls and 0.8 for DC United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 65%, draw 22%, DC United 13%.
Safer route: New York Red Bulls or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: New York Red Bulls to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New York Red Bulls or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 2–0 DC United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.75
DC United13%fair 7.72 · @4.45
2.82Expected goals
2.02New York Red Bulls xG
0.81DC United xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 2.0 – 0.8 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✗
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
New York Red Bulls or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
New York Red Bulls – last 5
WDWLW
16 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–2
W
22 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–6
L
22 Feb
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
DC United – last 5
DLLDW
19 Apr
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Dallas
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Atlanta United FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and DC United.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
Our pick is New York Red Bulls or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and DC United 13%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 2–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
New York Red Bulls vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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