Value bet: New England Revolution to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April (00:45 WAT) to face Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC are 13th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while New England Revolution sit 3rd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
New England Revolution's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Columbus Crew 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Atlanta United FC and 1.3 for New England Revolution. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: New England Revolution to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New England Revolution. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United FC42%fair 2.35 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
New England Revolution35%fair 2.86 · @3.60
2.82Expected goals
1.49Atlanta United FC xG
1.32New England Revolution xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.5 – 1.3 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
42%
2.35
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LWLLDL
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New England Revolution – last 5
WWLWL
19 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs DC United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ St. Louis City
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati
6–1
W
22 Feb
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New England Revolution 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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