Orlando City SC vs Charlotte prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte preview and prediction
The match
Orlando City SC host Charlotte in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT). Orlando City SC are 8th with 46 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Charlotte sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Orlando City SC's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Houston Dynamo 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Charlotte's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat New York City FC 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Orlando City SC and 1.7 for Charlotte. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orlando City SC 38%, draw 22%, Charlotte 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Orlando City SC 1–1 Charlotte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando City SC38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Charlotte40%fair 2.51 · @2.60
3.26Expected goals
1.61Orlando City SC xG
1.65Charlotte xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.6 – 1.7 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✗
40%
2.51
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Orlando City SC – last 6
LWDLLW
19 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Naples
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–6
L
21 Mar
@ Nashville SC
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs CF Montreal
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlotte – last 6
WWLWWD
19 Apr
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
6–0
W
12 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs New York Red Bulls
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Charlotte.
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlotte 40%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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