New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
New York City FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 1.81 – our chance 66% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗66% · @1.81
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati preview and prediction
The match
FC Cincinnati travel to Yankee Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April (00:30 WAT) to face New York City FC. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while FC Cincinnati sit 9th on 46 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Charlotte 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Cincinnati's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Chicago Fire 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.2 conceded.
New York City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for New York City FC and 1.0 for FC Cincinnati. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 66%, draw 19%, FC Cincinnati 15%.
Safer route: New York City FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: New York City FC to win at 1.81 – 66% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New York City FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New York City FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.81
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.80
FC Cincinnati15%fair 6.58 · @3.95
3.33Expected goals
2.31New York City FC xG
1.02FC Cincinnati xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: New York City FC 2.3 – 1.0 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
66%
1.51
1.81 ▲
Double chance
New York City FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Half-time result
New York City FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
New York City FC – last 6
LWLDWD
19 Apr
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Westchester SC
5–2
W
12 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DLLLWL
19 Apr
vs Chicago Fire
3–3
D
5 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
2–4
L
20 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
1–5
L
15 Mar
@ New England Revolution
1–6
L
13 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Toronto FC
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is New York City FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Cincinnati 15%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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