Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925 preview and prediction
The match
Virtus Francavilla host Nola 1925 in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Form guide
Virtus Francavilla's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Heraclea 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nola 1925's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Francavilla 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Virtus Francavilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Virtus Francavilla and 1.2 for Nola 1925. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Virtus Francavilla 43%, draw 23%, Nola 1925 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Nola 1925. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Francavilla43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Nola 192535%fair 2.89 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.37Virtus Francavilla xG
1.20Nola 1925 xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.4 – 1.2 Nola 1925 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win✓
43%
2.35
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
@ Heraclea
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Gravina
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Città di Fasano
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nola 1925 – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
vs Francavilla
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Real Acerrana
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Fidelis Andria
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Nola 1925.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nola 1925 35%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Nola 1925, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925?
Virtus Francavilla vs Nola 1925 (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Fasano2
Ferrandina1
Afragolese1
Sarnese2
Heraclea0
Paganese1
Barletta3