Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Ferrandina vs Afragolese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Ferrandina take on Afragolese on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Ferrandina.
Form guide
Ferrandina's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Martina Franca 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Afragolese's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Real Acerrana 5–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Afragolese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Ferrandina and 1.3 for Afragolese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Ferrandina 0–1 Afragolese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferrandina28%fair 3.54 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Afragolese50%fair 2.02 · @2.09
2.21Expected goals
0.89Ferrandina xG
1.32Afragolese xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ferrandina 0.9 – 1.3 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Afragolese to win✗
50%
2.02
2.09
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Afragolese / FT Afragolese✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Ferrandina – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ Martina Franca
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Manfredonia
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Barletta
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Afragolese – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Real Acerrana
5–2
W
22 Feb
@ Barletta
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nardò
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferrandina and Afragolese.
What is the prediction for Ferrandina vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Ferrandina vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Ferrandina have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Afragolese 50%.
How many goals will there be in Ferrandina vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferrandina vs Afragolese?
Our predicted score is Ferrandina 0–1 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ferrandina vs Afragolese?
Ferrandina vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ferrandina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Francavilla0
Città di Fasano2
Virtus Francavilla2
Nola 19251
Sarnese2
Gravina0
Fidelis Andria1
Heraclea0
Manfredonia3
Paganese1
Barletta3
Martina Franca3