Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fidelis Andria to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFidelis Andria to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceFidelis Andria or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.55
Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea preview and prediction
The match
Heraclea travel to Stadio Degli Ulivi in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 15 March (15:30 WAT) to face Fidelis Andria.
Form guide
Fidelis Andria's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Nardò 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Heraclea's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Virtus Francavilla 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Fidelis Andria and 0.7 for Heraclea. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Safer route: Fidelis Andria or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Fidelis Andria to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fidelis Andria or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fidelis Andria 1–0 Heraclea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fidelis Andria57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
Heraclea20%fair 4.93 · @3.75
2.04Expected goals
1.38Fidelis Andria xG
0.66Heraclea xG
41%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–013%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.4 – 0.7 Heraclea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fidelis Andria to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Fidelis Andria or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.55
–
Form
Fidelis Andria – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
@ Nardò
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Città di Fasano
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nola 1925
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Heraclea – last 3
LDW
1 Mar
vs Virtus Francavilla
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Nardò
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Real Acerrana
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fidelis Andria and Heraclea.
What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea?
Our pick is Fidelis Andria or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea?
On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heraclea 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea?
Our predicted score is Fidelis Andria 1–0 Heraclea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea?
Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Degli Ulivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Fasano2
Ferrandina1
Afragolese1
Nola 19251
Sarnese2
Paganese1
Barletta3