Value bet: Martina Franca to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarletta to win38% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.48
Barletta vs Martina Franca preview and prediction
The match
Barletta host Martina Franca in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadio Cosimo Puttilli.
Form guide
Barletta's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Paganese 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Martina Franca's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Ferrandina 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Barletta and 1.0 for Martina Franca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barletta 38%, draw 25%, Martina Franca 37%.
Value angle: Martina Franca to win at 3.15 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Barletta 1–0 Martina Franca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barletta38%fair 2.62 · @2.23
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Martina Franca37%fair 2.68 · @3.15
2.04Expected goals
1.03Barletta xG
1.01Martina Franca xG
43%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barletta 1.0 – 1.0 Martina Franca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barletta to win
38%
2.62
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.48
–
Form
Barletta – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
@ Paganese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ferrandina
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Martina Franca – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Ferrandina
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Pompei
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Manfredonia
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barletta and Martina Franca.
What is the prediction for Barletta vs Martina Franca?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance.
Who will win Barletta vs Martina Franca?
On our numbers Barletta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Martina Franca 37%.
How many goals will there be in Barletta vs Martina Franca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barletta vs Martina Franca?
Our predicted score is Barletta 1–0 Martina Franca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barletta vs Martina Franca?
Barletta vs Martina Franca (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cosimo Puttilli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Fasano2
Ferrandina1
Afragolese1
Nola 19251
Sarnese2
Heraclea0
Paganese1