Francavilla vs Città di Fasano prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
1
Value bet: Francavilla to win @ 3.34 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittà di Fasano to win ✓43% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Francavilla vs Città di Fasano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Francavilla take on Città di Fasano on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi.
Form guide
Francavilla's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Nola 1925 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Francavilla and 1.2 for Città di Fasano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Francavilla 35%, draw 22%, Città di Fasano 43%.
Value angle: Francavilla to win at 3.34 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Francavilla 0–1 Città di Fasano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Francavilla35%fair 2.89 · @3.34
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Città di Fasano43%fair 2.32 · @2.11
2.25Expected goals
1.04Francavilla xG
1.21Città di Fasano xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Francavilla 1.0 – 1.2 Città di Fasano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Fasano to win✓
43%
2.32
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Fasano / FT Città di Fasano✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Francavilla – last 3
WDL
1 Mar
@ Nola 1925
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Real Normanna
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Gravina
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Città di Fasano – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Fidelis Andria
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Virtus Francavilla
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Francavilla and Città di Fasano.
What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Città di Fasano?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Francavilla vs Città di Fasano?
On our numbers Francavilla have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Città di Fasano 43%.
How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Città di Fasano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Francavilla vs Città di Fasano?
Our predicted score is Francavilla 0–1 Città di Fasano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Francavilla vs Città di Fasano?
Francavilla vs Città di Fasano (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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