The Premier League sees FC Sochi take on Akhmat on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Form guide
FC Sochi's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Zenit 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Akhmat's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Sochi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for FC Sochi and 1.4 for Akhmat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sochi 38%, draw 23%, Akhmat 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: FC Sochi 1–1 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sochi38%fair 2.61 · @2.63
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.66
Akhmat39%fair 2.56 · @2.62
2.72Expected goals
1.35FC Sochi xG
1.37Akhmat xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.4 – 1.4 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✗
39%
2.56
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
FC Sochi – last 6
LWWWWL
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
3 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ FC Rostov
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
DDLWDD
10 May
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Baltika
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Akhmat.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akhmat 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
FC Sochi vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2