CSKA Moscow host Lokomotiv in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at VEB Arena. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lokomotiv's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Dynamo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for CSKA Moscow and 1.4 for Lokomotiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.70
Lokomotiv37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
2.77Expected goals
1.42CSKA Moscow xG
1.35Lokomotiv xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.4 – 1.4 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
40%
2.48
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WLDLWW
11 May
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
6 May
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
DDWLWL
1 May
vs Dynamo
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Zenit
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 37%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2
FC Sochi1