Value bet: Rubin to win @ 2.22 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubin to win ✗49% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
Rubin host Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Ak Bars Arena.
Form guide
Rubin's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Rubin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Rubin and 1.0 for Nizhny Novgorod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Rubin to win at 2.22 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Rubin 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin49%fair 2.02 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.56
Nizhny Novgorod30%fair 3.36 · @3.30
2.35Expected goals
1.38Rubin xG
0.97Nizhny Novgorod xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.4 – 1.0 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubin to win✗
49%
2.02
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rubin / FT Rubin✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.62
–
Form
Rubin – last 6
LWWDWW
11 May
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 5
LLLLW
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Rubin have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nizhny Novgorod 30%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Sochi1