Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.18
FC Rostov vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
Zenit travel to Rostov Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT) to face FC Rostov. FC Rostov are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Rostov's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Akron 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Zenit's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat FC Sochi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for FC Rostov and 1.8 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Rostov 13%, draw 18%, Zenit 69%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.59.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: FC Rostov 0–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Rostov13%fair 7.75 · @8.70
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @5.45
Zenit69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
2.43Expected goals
0.59FC Rostov xG
1.84Zenit xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: FC Rostov 0.6 – 1.8 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.59
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.29
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.18
–
Form
FC Rostov – last 6
WWDLWL
11 May
@ Akron
3–1
W
2 May
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
WDWWWW
10 May
vs FC Sochi
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Rostov and Zenit.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Zenit?
On our numbers FC Rostov have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zenit 69%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is FC Rostov 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Rostov vs Zenit?
FC Rostov vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2
FC Sochi1