Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 2.79 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo to win ✓39% · @2.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Baltika vs Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Baltika take on Dynamo on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Rostec Arena. Baltika are 9th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dynamo sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Akron 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dynamo's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat FC Krasnodar 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Baltika and 1.3 for Dynamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 38%, draw 23%, Dynamo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.78.
Value angle: Dynamo to win at 2.79 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Baltika 1–1 Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika38%fair 2.66 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.54
Dynamo39%fair 2.53 · @2.79
2.50Expected goals
1.23Baltika xG
1.27Dynamo xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.2 – 1.3 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
39%
2.53
2.79 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.61
–
Form
Baltika – last 6
LDDLLW
27 Apr
vs Akron
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Akhmat
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
WDLWDL
11 May
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
1 May
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Akron
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Zenit
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Dynamo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Baltika vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Baltika have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dynamo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Dynamo?
Baltika vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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