Value bet: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @ 3.88 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗51% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Makhachkala host Spartak Moscow in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Anzhi Arena. Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Akhmat 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Rubin 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.5 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Dinamo Makhachkala to win at 3.88 – 28% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Makhachkala28%fair 3.56 · @3.88
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.52
Spartak Moscow51%fair 1.96 · @2.03
2.43Expected goals
0.97Dinamo Makhachkala xG
1.45Spartak Moscow xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Dinamo Makhachkala 1.0 – 1.5 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✗
51%
1.96
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.34 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.94 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6
DLDLDL
10 May
@ Akhmat
1–1
D
2 May
vs FC Rostov
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Akron
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Zenit
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Baltika
2–2
D
18 Mar
@ Zenit
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WWLWLW
11 May
vs Rubin
2–1
W
6 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
1 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akhmat
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Makhachkala and Spartak Moscow.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Dinamo Makhachkala have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Moscow 51%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Anzhi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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