Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓70% · @1.34
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg preview and prediction
The match
FC Krasnodar host FC Orenburg in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Ozon Arena. FC Krasnodar are 4th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top four), while FC Orenburg sit 10th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Krasnodar's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Dynamo 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Orenburg's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Krylia Sovetov 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Krasnodar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for FC Krasnodar and 0.7 for FC Orenburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Krasnodar 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.94.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.94 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC Orenburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Krasnodar70%fair 1.44 · @1.34
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.40
FC Orenburg9%fair 10.68 · @9.70
2.81Expected goals
2.13FC Krasnodar xG
0.68FC Orenburg xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 2.1 – 0.7 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✓
70%
1.44
1.34
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.94 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.47
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
FC Krasnodar – last 6
LWDWWL
11 May
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dynamo
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Orenburg – last 6
WLWLLL
10 May
vs Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
3 May
@ FC Sochi
1–3
L
22 Apr
vs Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and FC Orenburg.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Orenburg 9%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2
FC Sochi1