Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica to win ✗72% · @1.42
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓89% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Benfica vs SC Braga preview and prediction
The match
SC Braga travel to Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May (20:15 WAT) to face Benfica. Benfica are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while SC Braga sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Benfica's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Casa Pia 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SC Braga's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
SC Braga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Benfica and 0.7 for SC Braga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benfica 72%, draw 17%, SC Braga 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Benfica 2–0 SC Braga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benfica72%fair 1.40 · @1.42
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.45
SC Braga11%fair 8.97 · @7.20
2.90Expected goals
2.19Benfica xG
0.71SC Braga xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Benfica 2.2 – 0.7 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✗
72%
1.40
1.42
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Benfica – last 6
DDWLLW
6 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs FC Porto
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ GIL Vicente
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Santa Clara
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
LWWWDW
7 May
@ SC Freiburg
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Real Betis
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ferencvarosi TC
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica and SC Braga.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Benfica vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Benfica have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and SC Braga 11%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Benfica 2–0 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Benfica vs SC Braga?
Benfica vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tondela2