Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗68% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.87
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain travel to Stade Jean Bouin in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Paris FC. Paris FC are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paris FC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Monaco 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Lens 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Paris FC and 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris FC 17%, draw 15%, Paris Saint Germain 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paris Saint Germain to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paris FC 0–2 Paris Saint Germain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris FC17%fair 5.88 · @4.60
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @4.60
Paris Saint Germain68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
3.20Expected goals
0.97Paris FC xG
2.23Paris Saint Germain xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.0 – 2.2 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✗
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.87
–
Form
Paris FC – last 5
WDWDW
10 Apr
vs Monaco
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Lorient
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Strasbourg
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WDWWWW
13 May
@ Lens
2–0
W
6 May
@ Bayern München
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Bayern München
5–4
W
22 Apr
vs Nantes
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Liverpool
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Liverpool
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Paris Saint Germain 68%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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