Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✗59% · @1.66
Double chanceLyon or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.84
Lyon vs Lens preview and prediction
The match
Lens travel to Groupama Stadium in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Lyon. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lens sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lyon's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Angers 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lens's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Lens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Lyon and 1.0 for Lens. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 59%, draw 23%, Lens 18%.
Safer route: Lyon or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lyon or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lyon 1–0 Lens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon59%fair 1.69 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Lens18%fair 5.59 · @4.45
2.96Expected goals
1.96Lyon xG
1.00Lens xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lyon 2.0 – 1.0 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
59%
1.69
1.66
Double chance
Lyon or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.84
–
Form
Lyon – last 6
DLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Angers
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Monaco
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Le Havre
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lens – last 6
LWDWWW
13 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
21 Apr
vs Toulouse
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Angers
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Lens.
Our pick is Lyon or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lyon vs Lens?
On our numbers Lyon have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lens 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Lens?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–0 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Lens?
Lyon vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nantes0
Metz0