Lille host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Auxerre sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lille's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Le Havre 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Auxerre's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Monaco 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Lille and 0.8 for Auxerre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 65%, draw 18%, Auxerre 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lille 2–0 Auxerre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.65
Auxerre17%fair 6.01 · @8.40
2.68Expected goals
1.89Lille xG
0.79Auxerre xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lille 1.9 – 0.8 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Lille or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Lille – last 6
DWLWLD
3 May
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Marseille
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rennes
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Aston Villa
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Lorient
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
DDLDLW
19 Apr
@ Monaco
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lille vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lille have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Auxerre 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Auxerre?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Auxerre?
Lille vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nantes0
Metz0