Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNice to win ✗65% · @1.33
Double chanceNice or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Nice vs Metz preview and prediction
The match
Metz travel to Allianz Riviera in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Nice.
Form guide
Nice's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Strasbourg 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Metz's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Marseille 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Nice and 0.9 for Metz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nice 65%, draw 22%, Metz 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Nice 2–0 Metz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nice65%fair 1.55 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @5.25
Metz14%fair 7.25 · @7.90
3.11Expected goals
2.17Nice xG
0.93Metz xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nice 2.2 – 0.9 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
65%
1.55
1.33
Double chance
Nice or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Nice ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Nice – last 5
WLLDL
22 Apr
@ Strasbourg
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rennes
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Paris FC
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
LDDLLL
10 Apr
@ Marseille
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Nantes
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Rennes
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Toulouse
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lens
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Stade Brestois 29
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Metz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nice vs Metz?
On our numbers Nice have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metz 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Metz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Nice 2–0 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Metz?
Nice vs Metz (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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