San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.70
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction
The match
Olimpo Bahia Blanca travel to 17 De Octubre in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 18 October (18:00 WAT) to face San Martin Formosa. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Martin Formosa's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with San Martin Formosa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 San Martin Formosa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for San Martin Formosa and 0.9 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Formosa 43%, draw 24%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.50.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 51% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Formosa43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Olimpo Bahia Blanca33%fair 3.00 · @3.70
1.99Expected goals
1.09San Martin Formosa xG
0.90Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.1 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 33%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
