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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Jose Antonio Valle

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Kimberley Mar del Plata to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.26

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction

The match

Kimberley Mar del Plata host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle. Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Rincon 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Deportivo Rincon's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Deportivo Rincon 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.4 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kimberley Mar del Plata to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kimberley Mar del Plata61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon17%fair 5.96 · @5.50
1.67Expected goals
1.25Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.42Deportivo Rincon xG
41%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–023%
0–019%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%

From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.2 – 0.4 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.691.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.26–

Form

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6

WDDWLL
11 Oct@ Deportivo Rincon1–0W
20 Sep@ Villa Mitre0–0D
13 Sepvs Huracan Las Heras0–0D
5 Sep@ Juventud Antoniana3–0W
30 Augvs Alvarado0–2L
23 Aug@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

LWLDDW
11 Octvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–1L
20 Sepvs Santamarina3–0W
13 Sep@ Fundacion Amigos0–1L
6 Sepvs Costa Brava1–1D
30 Aug@ Germinal de Rawson0–0D
23 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Deportivo Rincon v Kimberley Mar del Plata0–1
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our pick is Kimberley Mar del Plata to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?

On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Rincon 17%.

How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.