Value bet: Gimnasia Concepción to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción preview and prediction
The match
9 de Julio Rafaela host Gimnasia Concepción in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at El Coloso. 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Gimnasia Concepción sit 33rd on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Concepción 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat 9 de Julio Rafaela 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Concepción arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Gimnasia Concepción 4–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. Across their last 2 meetings 9 de Julio Rafaela have won 0, Gimnasia Concepción 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 1.1 for Gimnasia Concepción. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 22%, Gimnasia Concepción 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Gimnasia Concepción to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Julio Rafaela44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Gimnasia Concepción34%fair 2.93 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.309 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.10Gimnasia Concepción xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.1 Gimnasia Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimnasia Concepción 34%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
