Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sarmiento de La Banda take on Sportivo Belgrano on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Sarmiento de La Banda 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 Sarmiento de La Banda. Across their last 2 meetings Sarmiento de La Banda have won 1, Sportivo Belgrano 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.5 for Sportivo Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento de La Banda 63%, draw 25%, Sportivo Belgrano 12%.
Safer route: Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Sarmiento de La Banda to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento de La Banda63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Sportivo Belgrano12%fair 8.38 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.60Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.53Sportivo Belgrano xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 – 0.5 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✗
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Belgrano 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
