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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Jose Maria Paz

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗68% · @1.35
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas preview and prediction

The match

Gimnasia Chivilcoy host Defensores de Vilelas in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Jose Maria Paz. Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Defensores de Vilelas sit 24th on 19 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Defensores de Vilelas 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Defensores de Vilelas's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Defensores de Vilelas 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy and 0.5 for Defensores de Vilelas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gimnasia Chivilcoy68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.33
Defensores de Vilelas9%fair 11.53 · @8.00
2.20Expected goals
1.73Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.47Defensores de Vilelas xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.7 – 0.5 Defensores de Vilelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗68%1.471.35
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓91%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Half-time resultGimnasia Chivilcoy ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.21–

Form

Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6

DLLDWW
11 Oct@ Defensores de Vilelas1–1D
4 Octvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–2L
27 Sep@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–2L
20 Sep@ Douglas Haig0–0D
6 Sep@ Bartolomé Mitre1–0W
30 Augvs Sarmiento de La Banda1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Defensores de Vilelas – last 6

DDWLDL
11 Octvs Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–1D
20 Sep@ Boca Unidos3–3D
13 Sepvs Independiente De Chivilcoy2–0W
7 Sep@ Atletico Escobar1–2L
23 Augvs El Linqueño0–0D
16 Aug@ Gimnasia Concepción0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Defensores de Vilelas v Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our pick is Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Defensores de Vilelas 9%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.