Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.25
Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava preview and prediction
The match
Costa Brava travel to Estadio El Fortin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 18 October (18:00 WAT) to face Villa Mitre. Villa Mitre are 16th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Costa Brava sit 27th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villa Mitre's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Costa Brava 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Costa Brava's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Villa Mitre 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Costa Brava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Costa Brava 1–1 Villa Mitre.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.6 for Villa Mitre and 0.3 for Costa Brava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Mitre 70%, draw 23%, Costa Brava 7%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Villa Mitre 1–0 Costa Brava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Mitre70%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Costa Brava7%fair 14.08 · @8.50
1.91Expected goals
1.59Villa Mitre xG
0.32Costa Brava xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–019%
0–015%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.6 – 0.3 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Costa Brava 7%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.