Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia Concepción to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Concepción host 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez. Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Las Parejas 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Sol de América 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Gimnasia Concepción 3–0 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Gimnasia Concepción and 0.8 for 9 de Julio Rafaela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Concepción 56%, draw 21%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 23%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Gimnasia Concepción to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Concepción56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.00
9 de Julio Rafaela23%fair 4.26 · @4.00
2.16Expected goals
1.41Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.769 de Julio Rafaela xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.4 – 0.8 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 23%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
