Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.06
El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig preview and prediction
The match
Douglas Haig travel to Leonardo Costa in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 11 October (18:00 WAT) to face El Linqueño. El Linqueño are 26th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Douglas Haig sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Linqueño's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Sarmiento Resistencia 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Douglas Haig's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished El Linqueño 2–0 Douglas Haig.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for El Linqueño and 1.1 for Douglas Haig. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Linqueño 34%, draw 26%, Douglas Haig 40%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Douglas Haig to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: El Linqueño 0–1 Douglas Haig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Linqueño34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Douglas Haig40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.02Expected goals
0.95El Linqueño xG
1.06Douglas Haig xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 1.0 – 1.1 Douglas Haig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Douglas Haig 40%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 0–1 Douglas Haig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
