Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Costa Brava take on Villa Mitre on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Villa Mitre sit 16th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Sol de Mayo 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Costa Brava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Costa Brava and 0.9 for Villa Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Brava 38%, draw 27%, Villa Mitre 35%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Brava38%fair 2.62 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.62
Villa Mitre35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
1.78Expected goals
0.92Costa Brava xG
0.86Villa Mitre xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✗
38%
2.62
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Costa Brava – last 6
WWDLWW
20 Sep
vs Sol de Mayo
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Santamarina
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Villa Mitre – last 6
DLWDDL
20 Sep
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Villa Mitre.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa Mitre 35%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
