Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiji to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceFiji or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.77
Fiji vs New Caledonia preview and prediction
The match
New Caledonia travel to HFC Bank Stadium in the Friendlies on Wednesday 30 September (08:00 WAT) to face Fiji.
Form guide
Fiji's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Papua New Guinea 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
New Caledonia's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Vanuatu 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Fiji and 0.9 for New Caledonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiji 63%, draw 23%, New Caledonia 15%.
Safer route: Fiji or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fiji or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fiji 1–0 New Caledonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiji63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.80
New Caledonia15%fair 6.78 · @4.00
2.86Expected goals
1.99Fiji xG
0.87New Caledonia xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Fiji 2.0 – 0.9 New Caledonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiji to win✓
63%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Fiji or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Fiji ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiji / FT Fiji✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Fiji – last 3
WLL
27 Sep
vs Papua New Guinea
2–0
W
21 Sep
vs Vanuatu
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Vanuatu
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
New Caledonia – last 4
LWLL
27 Sep
@ Vanuatu
1–4
L
24 Sep
@ Papua New Guinea
2–1
W
21 Sep
vs Solomon Islands
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiji and New Caledonia.
Our pick is Fiji or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fiji vs New Caledonia?
On our numbers Fiji have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Caledonia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fiji vs New Caledonia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Our predicted score is Fiji 1–0 New Caledonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Fiji vs New Caledonia (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at HFC Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USA4
Chile2
Mexico1
Peru1
Papua New Guinea1
Solomon Islands1
Mauritius
Djibouti
Seychelles0
Sri Lanka2
Lithuania3
Andorra0