Lithuania vs Andorra prediction & analysis
Lithuania to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lithuania 1.3 – 0.4 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lithuania are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Andorra.
Lithuania have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches (2W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Andorra have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Lithuania come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (1.3 for Lithuania, 0.4 for Andorra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (23%), 0–0 (18%), 2–0 (15%).
Our pick is Lithuania to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lithuania to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Lithuania or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lithuania / FT Lithuania ✓ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
Form
Lithuania – last 4
| 27 Sep | vs Azerbaijan | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Georgia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Moldova | 2–0 | W |
Andorra – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Gibraltar | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | vs Malta | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Kosovo | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 29 May | @ Iraq | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ San Marino | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Andorra.
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What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Andorra?
Our pick is Lithuania to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Lithuania vs Andorra?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Andorra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Andorra?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Lithuania vs Andorra?
Lithuania vs Andorra (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.